The 2026 Inflection Point: Playbook for a Multipolar World
We’ve officially moved past the shocks of 2025, but as we settle into 2026, it’s becoming clear that the old investment playbooks are being actively torn apart.
Minnesota, Venezuela, Greenland, Cuba, Iran ... the list goes on for "controlled disorder".
The "Trump Factor" has moved beyond campaign rhetoric into structural fiscal reality. We’re seeing a massive reorientation of capital flows, a reassertion of the Monroe Doctrine in Latin America, and a Fed that is facing a leadership transition this may amidst significant political pressure.
I’m curious how you are adjusting your long-term framework.
The three big trends I see on the horizon for 2026:
The reality of multipolarity hits investors. Will Chinese stocks be back on the menu? Vietnam? India?
Asset class rotation becomes a reality. 60/40 is pretty much dead. Gold surged in 2025, is it the time for "digital gold" aka Bitcoin? Other metals? International ETFs?
The Fed wildcard. Like it or not, it is probably the most powerful institution in the world of finance, and 2026 is going to be tumultuous to put it mildly. Powell's term ends may 2026, so what then? A puppet Fed chair? Fiscal domination? Will investors trust the new Fed?
A quick reminder: Let’s keep this focused strictly on the investment implications and portfolio strategy. We don’t need to debate whether specific policies are "right" or "wrong". The goal here is to discuss how we, as investors, navigate the reality of the 2026 landscape.
What does your new playbook look like? Which asset classes are you overweighted in right now?
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